Senior Downstream Market Advisor

Job Family Group: Finance Group Job Description: Our purpose is to deliver energy to the world, today and tomorrow. For over 100 years, bp has focused on discovering, developing, and producing oil and gas in the nations where we operate. We are one of the few companies globally that can provide governments and customers with an integrated energy offering. Delivering our strategy sustainably is fundamental to achieving our ambition to be a net zero company by 2050 or sooner! bp's Economic and Energy Insights team is seeking a qualified analyst to support our petroleum markets analysis. The successful candidate will have extensive background in the oil industry with a keen desire to understand how the upstream and downstream will evolve in the coming decades. The four main areas of work for the team include medium term (2-5 year) oil market updates, development and maintenance of models that provide insight and analysis for the long term bp Energy Outlook, provision of strategically relevant insights to the broader Strategy & Sustainability team as well as relevant stakeholders in Finance and Production & Operations as well as other groups. Another key responsibility is to provide price recommendations for oil and refined products for investment assurance and appraisal. Key Accountabilities: Analysis of the global oil market over the short, medium, and long term within Economics and Energy Insights Team for various executive, other internal, and external stakeholders. Prepare and maintain analysis of oil supply and demand fundamentals over the medium and long term for internal usage across relevant business lines, for investment appraisal, refining and upstream strategy, and for external purposes in bp’s Energy Outlook. Provide quantitative and qualitative insights using scenario analysis that leverages in house expertise, external information services, and modelling capabilities. Long term refined product supply modelling and contribution to the bp Fuels Investment Price Set. Use analytical tools to improve existing processes and elicit new insights and refinery and upstream modelling to guide forecasts. Essential Education: Graduate degree in Engineering, Business, Mathematics, Economics or related subjects Proven experience in energy analysis or the energy sector Experience and Job Requirements: The role requires a dynamic individual to produce rigorous and commercial fundamental analysis to support BP’s macro analysis and its strategy work. International experience in research and consulting in the energy sector, with significant expertise in monitoring, analyzing and forecasting world energy and oil developments. Experience and familiarity with oil industry consulting and data services including but not limited to IEA, Rystad, Woodmackenzie, SPGlobal. Strong background in quantitative skills (statistics/regression modelling, mathematics, advanced computing, machine learning) and has preferably applied those skills to upstream and downstream forecasting. Expert proficiency in Microsoft Excel and strong proficiency with PowerBI Excellent communication and presentation skills, with track record of successfully communicating complex ideas and issues to internal and external audiences. Desirable Criteria: PhD or graduate level coursework in Economics including experience with time series modelling and forecasting. Proven track record of using advanced analytical techniques and complex data sets to produce targeted, accurate and timely analytical insights on global oil and gas markets Prior experience in refining/downstream sector in an economics or strategy type of role with understanding of refinery processes, configuration, constraints, and environmental compliance. Experience using software packages for forecasting and data science including Python and associated packages, E-Views, and R. Why join our team? We support our people to learn and grow in a diverse and challenging environment. We believe that our team is strengthened by diversity. We are committed to crafting an inclusive environment in which everyone is respected and treated fairly. There are many aspects of our employees’ lives that are meaningful, so we offer benefits to enable your work to fit with your life. These benefits can include flexible working options, collaboration spaces in a modern office environment, and many other benefits! Reinvent your career as you help our business meet the challenges of the future. Apply now! Travel Requirement: Up to 10% travel should be expected with this role Relocation Assistance: This role is not eligible for relocation Remote Type: This position is a hybrid of office/remote working Skills: Analysis and modelling, Communication, Data Analysis, Econometrics, Economics, Statistics ​ Legal Disclaimer: We are an equal opportunity employer and value diversity at our company. We do not discriminate on the basis of race, religion, color, national origin, sex, gender, gender expression, sexual orientation, age, marital status, socioeconomic status, neurodiversity/neurocognitive functioning, veteran status or disability status. Individuals with an accessibility need may request an adjustment/accommodation related to bp’s recruiting process (e.g., accessing the job application, completing required assessments, participating in telephone screenings or interviews, etc.). If you would like to request an adjustment/accommodation related to the recruitment process, please contact us . If you are selected for a position and depending upon your role, your employment may be contingent upon adherence to local policy. This may include pre-placement drug screening, medical review of physical fitness for the role, and background checks.