Head of Forecasting

Octopus Energy started with a bold idea: to build Britain’s first truly digital energy supplier. By combining world-class tech with brilliant humans who care deeply about customers and driving the renewable energy transition, we made it happen and in 2025, we became Britain’s largest energy supplier. We now serve over 12 million customers globally, are present in over 30 countries and manage a £7 billion portfolio of renewable energy assets. At Octopus, we prioritise generalists over specialists because our growth isn't limited to just one sector. We built Kraken into a £10B SaaS powerhouse, and are scaling ventures across Tech, Flexibility and Smart Heating among others. We are now looking to take our experience to new countries around the world. We are looking for someone to lead the build out forecasting and asset optimisation analytics in a new market for Octopus in East Asia. The role will cover forecasting price, generation and demand outturns. This will start off with a contained number of pilot projects to prove out the concept, but will expand to a national, multi-province approach. We envisage you spending a couple of months in Octopus HQ to get up to speed before deploying in country. This is a rare opportunity to create, build and lead a new function, targeting one of the largest opportunities in global energy. What You'll Do... Get stuck in. This is a leadership role, but we’d expect you to spend most of your time coding at first: Research fundamental data feeds Identify and execute contracts with the best meteorology providers Build generation forecasts for specific renewable plants (solar, wind or hydro) Build system demand forecasts, how much demand, generation and interconnection will there be on the system at any given point in time Combine the volume forecasts to generate price forecasts at varying time points, critically day-ahead and real time. Ensure detailed understanding of real time price formulae and seek close replication in our processes Quickly understand the requirements, identify optimal resource for a lean and efficient team, and lead recruitment of a high quality team Designing a modular forecasting engine that can quickly adapt to different provincial market rules, ancillary service requirements, and varying price signals Set and communicate the strategic direction for the software Utilise LLM models for efficient development. Potential opportunity to partner with Anthropic or similar for case study project Ensure (with necessary support) that we are acting in accordance with local data security standards Propose and implement the desired tech stack, likely hosted on AliCloud. Be a strong example of Octopus culture and work closely with Octopus and partner teams What You'll Need... Experience building and leading high performing data science and analytics teams Experience with sophisticated machine learning techniques Full stack to be defined (and you’ll have the chance to influence) but proficiency with Python and SQL is vital Experience managing complex data pipelines and visualisation suites Excellent communication skills to relay complicated concepts in a way that everyone can understand Openness to moving to an East Asian market Prior experience in energy markets preferred Speaking both English and Mandarin advantageous but not essential 💚 Why else you'll love it here 💚 • 💰 Wondering what the salary for this role is? Just ask us! On a call with one of our recruiters it's something we always cover as we genuinely want to match your experience with the correct salary. The reason why we don't advertise is because we honestly have a degree of flexibility and would never want salary to be a reason why someone doesn't apply to Octopus - what's more important to us is finding the right octofit! • 🎉 Octopus Energy Group is a unique culture . An organisation where people learn, decide, and build quicker. Where people work with autonomy, alongside a wide range of amazing co-owners, on projects that break new ground. We want your hard work to be rewarded with perks you actually care about! We were recently named the UK's top company to work for , and we ranked in the top ten in the Sunday Times Best Places to Work 2024 . Our Group CEO, Greg has recorded a podcast about our culture and how we empower our people. We’ve also been placed in the top 10 companies for senior leadership If this sounds like you then we'd love to hear from you. 🚀 P.S. Our process usually takes up to 4 weeks, but we’ll always do our best to flex around what works for you. Along the way, you’ll chat with our recruitment team and your Recruiter will help you throughout different stages. Got any burning questions before then? Drop us a message at [email protected] and we’d love to help! Are you ready for a career with us? We want to ensure you have all the tools and environment you need to unleash your potential. Need any specific accommodations? Whether you require specific accommodations or have a unique preference, let us know, and we'll do what we can to customise your interview process for comfort and maximum magic! Studies have shown that some groups of people, like women, are less likely to apply to a role unless they meet 100% of the job requirements. Whoever you are, if you like one of our jobs, we encourage you to apply as you might just be the candidate we hire. Across Octopus, we're looking for genuinely decent people who are honest and empathetic. Our people are our strongest asset and the unique skills and perspectives people bring to the team are the driving force of our success. As an equal opportunity employer, we do not discriminate on the basis of any protected attribute. Our commitment is to provide equal opportunities, an inclusive work environment, and fairness for everyone.