UNFPA Egypt CO - National Consultancy Climate Country Landscape Analysis for Egypt

Hiring Office:
Egypt Country Office/UNFPA

Purpose of consultancy:
To develop an evidence-based diagnostic tool and comprehensive Climate Country Landscape Analysis for Egypt. This analysis will consolidate national and subnational metrics across the climate-Population Dynamics-SRHR-gender-GBV-HP intersection, review existing population and health policies, and serve as a "live document" to guide climate-smart resilience programming, targeted advocacy, and cross-sectoral partnerships for future national interventions. This work is part of the foundational efforts to build resilience, co-led by the Information and Decision Support Centre (IDSC) and UNFPA Egypt.

Scope of work: (Description of services, activities, or outputs)
The Consultant will conduct research, gather evidence, leverage geospatial/demographic data, and write the Landscape Analysis report. This consultancy utilizes a hybrid approach, combining secondary research and policy reviews with primary stakeholder consultations and geospatial-demographic modelling. The consultancy will commence with an inception phase featuring a thorough literature review to align the TOR with existing data and recommend any required updates. Additionally, the inception phase will establish the methodological framework as well as the data collection and analysis strategy. The Climate Landscape Report should cover the following components:
Introduction (Country Context): Provide a comprehensive overview of Egypt's demographic makeup, population size, humanitarian-development context, and economic situation.

Part 1: Climate Change Profile: Identify primary climate hazards (e.g., extreme heat, floods, sea-level rise, dust storms), historical climate trends, future projections, and seasonal forecasts. Map climate-vulnerable populations, taking into account gender dimensions, taking note of compound or overlapping vulnerabilities, alongside climate-WASH considerations. Include a geospatial analysis of historical and projected hazards (such as satellite land-surface temperature maps or sea-level/salinity intrusion maps for coastal areas) overlaid with demographic data to visually identify specific vulnerability hotspots. Followed by a strategic foresight and future risk outlooks to identify emerging climate-demographic challenges and potential hotspots.

Part 2: Climate-Health Profile: Document key climate-sensitive health risks (e.g., impact of heat stress, water scarcity, salinity, and climate-induced food insecurity on maternal health, menstrual health, malnutrition, water- and vector-borne diseases, and mental health impacts). Outline the climate-health equity profile to identify those most at risk and assess the climate resilience of Egypt's existing health infrastructure.

Part 3: Climate-Protection Profile: Detail key climate-related protection risks, including climate-induced displacement, internal rural-to-urban migration, transboundary or localized resource disputes (especially regarding Nile water scarcity and agricultural land degradation), and climate-exacerbated localized tensions. Identify "invisible" populations living in zones highly vulnerable to climate hazards and risks; this includes demographic groups (women, girls, youth, older persons, and people with disabilities) as well as occupationally vulnerable cohorts, such as agricultural day labourers (particularly in the Nile Delta) and informal outdoor workers. Additionally, assess the climate resilience of localized protection infrastructure—specifically UNFPA-supported Women and Girls Safe Spaces (WGSS), and shelters/referral services managed by the Ministry of Social Solidarity (MoSS) and the National Council for Women (NCW)—producing actionable insights for disaster preparedness and service continuity during extreme weather events.

Part 4: Other Intersections of Interest: Analyse how climate intersects with conflict, agriculture, urban profiles (e.g., assessing urban heat or flooding issues and blue/green spaces), and education—specifically noting if disruptions to education are linked to harmful practices like child marriage or extreme weather events such as heat. This part should review the climate-induced migration, urbanization trends, and demographic shifts, particularly in vulnerable geographic areas such as the Nile Delta and governorates particularly vulnerable to climate impacts. Also, the integration of climate risks within national and subnational development planning frameworks.

Part 5: National Climate Policy Profile: Review the following documents and others as relevant, including: Egypt's Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), Egypt's 2024 Biennial Transparency Report (BTR). BTR1, National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), Health NAPs, the National Climate Change Strategy 2050, Climate Change Gender Action Plans, and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) policies. Evaluate the inclusion of gender, youth, SRHR, GBV, and the integration of demographic insights (such as whether population dynamics and spatial datasets are factored into climate planning) across multiple timescales. This profile should cover climate governance, policy frameworks, and institutional arrangements—including existing mitigation and adaptation-related strategies, as well as decision-making systems designed to address climate risk, physical exposure, and actual observed impacts. Also, the inclusion of climate resilience and crisis adaptation as an integral dimension of the National Social Protection.

Part 6: Key Stakeholders Engaged in Climate Action: Map both traditional and non-traditional stakeholders whose mandate relates to climate-Population Dynamics-SRHR-gender-GBV-HP intersection across the climate sector.
● Traditional Stakeholders: Government ministries (including parliamentarians), UN agencies (including agencies with intersecting mandates like WFP, FAO, UNDP, UNDRR, UN Habitat, and UNEP), Women and Youth-Led Organizations, academia, and media.
● Non-Traditional Stakeholders: Identify potential innovative partnerships with technology start-ups, AI firms, telecoms companies, active climate funders, logistics and supply chain companies, waste management firms, tailors and product developers (e.g., for menstrual health solutions), insurance companies, and the broader private sector.

Part 7: Evidence Gaps & Policy Entry Points: Map existing data sources to pinpoint critical evidence gaps at the climate-SRHR-gender-GBV intersection, specifically highlighting areas that lack highly disaggregated demographic intelligence. Additionally, the analysis must detail specific Loss and Damage evidence needs by capturing both economic factors—such as destroyed maternity facilities—and non-economic factors, such as mental health impacts or vulnerability, to ensure the data provides a "human face" to the climate crisis and pinpoint specific policy entry points where UNFPA should direct its advocacy.

Methodology and Data Sources
The Consultant will adopt a climate-smart framework throughout the analysis, systematically utilizing climate information across multiple timescales—ranging from short-term weather forecasts for anticipatory action to long-term climate projections for strategic planning. Through this framework, the Consultant will provide concrete, actionable recommendations on how UNFPA's country programming can integrate tangible climate-smart adaptation measures to address short-, medium-, and long-term climate impacts across the climate-population dynamics-SRHR-gender-GBV-harmful practices intersection.

The analysis must be informed by disaggregated population data, broken down by sex, age, disability, and socioeconomic status to reveal hidden and intersecting vulnerabilities. The Consultant should leverage geospatial modelling and demographic intelligence to overlay hazard zones against SRH service availability, health impact, and GBV hotspots.

Key data sources should include Demographic and Health Surveys, Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys, MISP Readiness Assessments, routine health service statistics, and GBV
administrative statistics. Hydrological and meteorological data should be reviewed, including historical trends, seasonal forecasts, and satellite land-surface temperature maps.
The Consultant should also review existing indices and tools, such as WHO Climate-Health Country Profiles, World Bank Country Climate Risk Profiles, the INFORM Risk Index, UNICEF’s Children’s Climate Risk Index, and national gender equality indices.

The Consultant must facilitate inclusive, multi-sectoral dialogue by organizing consultation meetings and workshops that bring together traditional and non-traditional stakeholders. These consultations should leverage participatory approaches to ensure the Landscape Analysis captures the lived experiences of climate-vulnerable populations and secures cross-sectoral buy-in from key national partners.

To ensure a structured yet integrated analysis, the consultant may treat individual sectors as contextual chapters; however, climate impacts must remain the common denominator across every section, with each chapter explicitly analysing how climate hazards intersect with that specific sector, culminating in an overarching cross-sectoral synthesis to guide resilience cross-sectoral programming.

Duration and working schedule:
Six-month/Schedule will be agreed upon by the Hiring Office based on the phased development of deliverables (e.g., inception, drafting, stakeholder consultations, and finalization).

Place where services are to be delivered:
Remote, with meetings with UNFPA Country Office and the National Partners for consultation workshops as required

Delivery dates and how work will be delivered (e.g. electronic, hard copy etc.):
All narrative, analytical, and mapped products must be submitted electronically in editable formats (Word, PDF, Excel, and relevant geospatial layers where applicable), supplemented by facilitating live workshops. Key Deliverables:
● Inception Report: detailing the methodology and implementation plan of the analysis
● Draft Report: A comprehensive report including all seven parts above, synthesizing climate intersections with UNFPA’s core mandate, food security, livelihoods, and demographic resilience.
● Stakeholder Consultations & Validation Workshop: Lead multi-sectoral consultation meetings and a final validation workshop with key government ministries, UNFPA, and civil society actors to secure cross-sectoral buy-in and integration of feedback in the final draft.
● Final Climate Landscape Analysis Report including the following annexes:
o Mapped Outline of Stakeholders & Evidence Gaps: To inform the Country Office's communications and engagement plan.
o Climate Financing Plan Outline: A strategic map assisting the Country Office in climate financing preparedness.
o Strategic CCA/CPD Summary: A concise brief designed to feed climate-smart indicators directly into the UN Common Country Analysis and UNFPA Country Program Document processes.
o Priority Climate-Integrated Interventions List: Tailored recommendations for the Egypt Country Office (e.g., capacity building for NSO, MoHP, and Weather Agencies).
o Advocacy One-Pager / Policy Brief: A visually compelling document drawing from the UNFPA Climate Value Proposition, outlining Loss and Damage data and beneficiary stories
All narrative, analytical, and mapped products must be submitted electronically in editable formats. To ensure a focused, high-impact product, the main body of the Final Climate Landscape Analysis Report should be concise, ideally not exceeding 50–60 pages (excluding annexes).

Budget and payment schedule
The consultancy is expected to deliver at a specialist level. The daily rate will be determined based on consultant qualifications and experience. Payment will be tied to the successful completion of deliverables as follows:
30% upon submission of Deliverables 1 and 2.
40% upon submission of Deliverable 3.
30% upon submission of the Final Climate Landscape Analysis Report (Deliverable 4).

Monitoring and progress control, including reporting requirements, periodicity, format and deadline:
● Regular progress update meetings with the UNFPA and IDSC oversight team.
● Review of individual draft chapters and profiles (Parts 1–7).
● Feedback integration following stakeholder consultation sessions.

Supervisory arrangements:
The Consultant will report directly to the UNFPA Egypt Population and Development Analyst, while collaborating closely under the guidance of the relevant IDSC Manager.

Expected travel:
Local travel within Egypt to facilitate multi-sectoral consultation meetings, workshops, or national partner engagements if required.

Required expertise, qualifications and competencies, including language requirements:
● Education: Advanced university degree (master’s or higher) in environmental studies, statistics, demography, GIS, health, or other related discipline relevant to this assignment.
● Language Requirements: Excellent command of written and spoken English and Arabic.
● Analytical Skills: Analytical, methodical, and precise style of writing. Strong ability to interpret disaggregated population and geospatial datasets.
● Communication: Good communication and advocacy skills; capacity to facilitate dialogue across traditional and non-traditional sectors.
● Experience: Proven experience working with Governmental Institutions, UN agencies, or international development

Inputs/services to be provided by UNFPA or national partner (e.g. support services, office space, equipment), if applicable:
Provision of available background materials, information, and relevant reference studies. Logistical and administrative support in convening government ministries, national weather agencies, and civil society for consultation workshops.

Other relevant information or special conditions, if any:
Interested applicants are required to submit a brief, two-page proposal outlining their proposed methodological approach, data collection strategy, and framework for conducting this study, along with their CV and a cover letter.

Interested Consultant should submit the following documents for applying to this consultancy:

1- Resume

2-Technical Proposal

3- Financial proposal